WEATHERNATOR FORECASTING CONTEST FORECAST PAGE

Congrats to Fouke Elementary the 2016 Weathernator Forecasting Contest Champions

Monday Februay 29, 2016

Congratulations to the team from Fouke Elementary for winning the 2016 Weathernator Forecasting contest.  As usual the contest was very close and came down the to last day.  The last day for forecasting at Salt Lake City proved to be a very challenging one.  Only a handful of teams did not forecast rain for Saturday.  It turned out that Salt Lake City stayed dry and was much warmer than indicated by the models.  The high was 65 and the low occurred at midnight Saturday night at 37.  Here is how close it was.  IF the low had dropped just ONE more degree the Crestview Garrison 3 team would have tied the team from Fouke.  The North Desoto Pierce team was also just a point away from winning.

Thanks to all students for participating in this years contest.  Part of being a meteorologist is learning from your mistakes.  It's always fun for me to see how your forecasts improve as we progress through the competition.  In that sense, you are all winners!  

Teachers, I want to thank you for making time in your busy day to give your students a chance to learn a little something extra about weather.  I hope that everyone enjoyed the contest as much as I did!!

--Todd Warren

FINAL Contest Standings
Rank School Name Pts/Day
1 Fouke Elementary 5.67
2 North Desoto Pierce 5.79
3 Crestview-Garrison 3 5.80
4 Wake Village-Burns 6.07
4 Ramsey Roaring Rapids 6.07
4 Crestview-Garrison 1 6.07
7 Crestview-Garrison 2 6.20
8 Taylor Elementary 6.40
9 Nashville Jr. High 6.46
10 Barmore Blazing Birds 6.60
11 North Desoto West 7.29
12 Crestview-Armstrong 3 7.33
13 Wake Village-Swann 7.79
14 Kilpatrick Elementary 7.83
15 Crestview-Armstrong 2 8.60
16 Crestview-Armstrong 1 8.73
17 Elm Grove Elementary 10.47

Weathernator Forecasting Contest Results Day 15 of 15 
FINAL
School Name Fcst Hi Obs Hi Pts  Fcst Lo Obs Lo Pts Rain ? Pts Snow ? Pts Day Pts Prev Pts Total Pts Pts/Day
Day 15 65 37
Crestview-Armstrong 1 53 12 37 0 N 0 Y 5 17 114 131 8.73
Crestview-Armstrong 2 55 10 35 2 N 0 N 0 12 117 129 8.60
Crestview-Armstrong 3 54 11 33 4 N 0 N 0 15 95 110 7.33
Crestview-Garrison 1 55 10 36 1 Y 5 N 0 16 75 91 6.07
Crestview-Garrison 2 56 9 36 1 N 0 N 0 10 83 93 6.20
Crestview-Garrison 3 55 10 36 1 N 0 N 0 11 76 87 5.80
Elm Grove Elementary 56 9 36 1 Y 5 N 0 15 142 157 10.47
Fouke Elementary 53 12 38 1 Y 5 N 0 18 67 85 5.67
Kilpatrick Elementary 55 10 39 2 Y 5 N 0 17 77 94 7.83
Nashville Jr. High 54 11 38 1 Y 5 N 0 17 67 84 6.46
North Desoto Pierce 54 11 38 1 N 0 N 0 12 69 81 5.79
North Desoto West 55 10 37 0 N 0 N 0 10 92 102 7.29
Ramsey Roaring Rapids 54 11 36 1 Y 5 N 0 17 74 91 6.07
Barmore Blazing Birds 55 10 38 1 Y 5 N 0 16 83 99 6.60
Taylor Elementary 54 11 36 1 Y 5 N 0 17 79 96 6.40
Wake Village-Burns 54 11 37 0 Y 5 N 0 16 75 91 6.07
Wake Village-Swann 52 13 37 0 Y 5 N 0 18 91 109 7.79

Forecast Model Temperatures
High Temperatures
EURO RPM GFS NAM NWS
51 54 52 57 55
Low Temperatures
36 39 38 38 36
Chance for Rain
30% 10% 30% 30% 40%
Hourly Temperatures & Cloud Cover
GFS Model
12a 3a 6a 9a 12p 3p 6p 9p 12a
45 43 42 41 47 49 46 45 44
SC CL CL BK SC BK BK BK BK
NAM Model
44 42 42 42 50 53 51 46 41
SC SC BK BK OV SC BK BK SC
OV=Cloudy  BK=Mostly Cloudy  SC=Partly Cloudy  FW=Mostly Clear  CL=Clear