Front to bring Sunday night storms. Possible tropical development in Gulf

Severe weather possible Sunday night.

Front to bring some possibly strong storms Sunday night.  Tropical depression could form and move through the Gulf of Mexico.  Path of this system yet to be determined.

The Arklatex experienced a mostly cloudy sky Sunday as rainfall was confined to the northeastern edge of the area.  Most of the rain that we will see with the passage of a cold front will likely hold off until Sunday night into Monday morning. Thunderstorms are expected to develop during the night.  A few of these storms could be strong with wind the biggest concern.  The best shot for severe weather will likely be over the northern half of the Arklatex where the Storm Prediction Center classifies the risk as 'slight'.  The risk is 'marginal' further south.  These storms will likely move out of the region Monday morning.  We will then only see a slight chance for a scattered storm Monday afternoon.

After a dry Tuesday, our attention may turn to the Gulf of Mexico where some models are hinting that a tropical depression or storm may develop in the next few days.  Due to a great deal of discrepancy in the models, there is some uncertainty as to where this system may head.  More that likely, it will move to the east of the Arklatex.  If this occurs, then its possible impact on our weather will be low.  If the system were to head into Texas, then we would expect to see some decent rain.  Stay Tuned.

Models are in pretty good agreement that we will see another cold front that will arrive next weekend.  This front will bring a shot for some showers and thunderstorms.  It could also usher in some below normal temperatures to begin next week.

Happy Father's Day to all of you dads!

--Todd Warren

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