UPDATE: A Tornado Watch is no longer in effect, but a few strong thunderstorms could develop later today.
SHREVEPORT, La. (KTAL/KMSS) – A slow-moving cold front will bring rain and thunderstorms to the ArkLaTex today. Rain will be heaviest this morning across the I-30 corridor, with the front moving south into the I-20 corridor of East Texas and Louisiana this afternoon. Take an umbrella today as we could see some heavy downpours.
We are awaiting an area of low pressure to kick this cold front through the region, until that happens the front will be stalled across northeast Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas where we will see heavy rain through the morning.
The front will slowly move south this afternoon as the area of low pressure finally arrives and starts to move the front south across the remainder of the ArkLaTex. We may be able to warm up enough to see a few strong storms (highs will be in the 70s and 80s), and the Storm Prediction Center has a ‘marginal risk’ of severe weather in place for much of the region. This means 1 or 2 storms could be severe, but widespread severe weather is not expected. The storms today will be capable of large hail (quarter to half-dollar sized), and high wind gusts, with a lesser threat for an isolated tornado.
The more widespread threat today may be for heavy rainfall. Any time we have a slow-moving front thunderstorms tend to train over the same area repeatedly. This means accumulations could add up quickly, with models indicating widespread 1 to 2-inch accumulations, with isolated pockets picking up 2 to 4 inches of rainfall. Radar is already estimating 2 to 3 inches of rain has fallen north of I-30.
Be on the lookout for high water on roads and in poor drainage areas during your commute today. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 4 p.m. for the northern ArkLaTex.
A breezy north wind will kick in behind the front pushing the humidity out of here tomorrow. I think we will have a decent Friday with high temperatures in the 70s, and some sun returning to the northern ArkLaTex. Rain showers may continue south of I-20 through Friday afternoon.
If you have outdoor plans or aspirations this weekend, I would push those towards Saturday. A disturbance moving along the Louisiana/Texas coast will churn up some rain by Saturday afternoon across the southern half of the ArkLaTex. Rain and thunderstorms will become widely scattered Sunday which may make outdoor activities difficult to plan for. There will be potential for strong storms this weekend.
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