4:15 Wednesday Storm Update on heavy rain threat

Futurecast

Live Update 430pm Wednesday:  The large area of rain that you can see in the loop of Pinpoint Doppler below shows that the line of showers and t’showers has slowed to a crawl.  Radar shows that rainfall totals over the past three hours have exceeded an inch over parts of NW LA and deep ETX.  The line will continue to slowly shift to the east this evening.  We will have to keep an eye on this activity as areas of heavy rain tend to be moving over the same areas.  While severe weather is possible, the risk looks very low for most of our area.

Thunderstorms threat moves east Wednesday evening.  Rain possible over the southeast part of the area Wednesday night.  A long streak of dry and cool weather begins Thursday.

Wednesday was a wet day around the Arklatex.  As expected a weakening line of showers and thunderstorms moved into the western edge of the area early Wednesday morning.  This line remained below severe limits through the morning.  As of this writing, there is still a small window where storms could strengthen over the southeast part of the area.  That threat will likely move east of our area this evening and the rain will gradually come to an end.  

Models continue to indicate new shower and thundershower development could occur over the southeastern half of the Arklatex late tonight.  This rain will likely exit our area fairly quickly Thursday morning.  The northwest half of the area will see plenty of sunshine throughout the day Thursday.  That sunshine will gradually expand to the southeast during the day Thursday. Thursday temperatures will be quite pleasant with highs over most of the area in the low to mid-70s.  Expect a breezy westerly wind of 10-15 mph. See the latest outlook:

The rest of the seven day period is looking rather quiet.  We’ll see plenty of sunshine each day from now through next Wednesday.  It is quite possible that the sunshine will stick around through all of next week.  Expect below normal temperatures for most of the week ahead.  Highs will mainly be in the 60s.  Lows will be in the 30s and 40s.  The northern edge of the area will have to keep an eye on the thermometer Friday night for the possibility of a light freeze.  Temperatures in these areas will likely dip into the low to mid-30s.

Average High/Low for today’s date: 69/46.

–Todd Warren

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