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830pm Live Update: Cold front to bring storms and nice cool down

Futurecast

Cold front to bring cool down and threat for strong storms and heavy rain.  Second surge of cool air arrives early next week.

830pm Live Update:

Monday was another very warm day around the Arklatex.  We did see a few pop up showers and thunderstorm but we also experienced enough sunshine to warm temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s.  Big changes are on the way as we go through the next week.  A strong cold front will move through the Arklatex late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.  This front will produce some strong to severe storms to the northwest of our area Tuesday afternoon.  This activity will likely be weakening as it arrives in our area late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. There is a possibility that we could see a severe storm or two over the extreme NW edge of our area.  That is where SPC indicates there is a ‘slight’ risk.  IF we have any severe weather concerns, wind is likely the biggest threat. See latest from Futurecast here:

We also might see some very heavy rain near the front.  Futurecast indicates that the NW edge of the area where the storms will be strongest could receive in excess of 2-3″ with some isolated heavier totals. The Weather Prediction Center indicates that we do have a ‘slight’ risk for excessive rainfall.  That means that brief and isolated reports of flash flooding will be possible.  The severe weather and flooding threat quickly decreases as you look to the southeast over most of the Arklatex.  Again, this is a result of the rapid decrease in intensity that most models indicate will happen Wednesday morning.

Expect below normal daytime highs to then settle into our area behind the front for the rest of the work week.  Highs will settle into the mid to upper 70s.  Lows will settle into the low to mid 50s.  This is just the beginning.  A second surge ove even colder air will arrive late in the weekend.  As it moves in Sunday, we could see a few showers develop.  Behind this system early next week, expect highs to fall to the upper 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows will dip to the mid to upper 40s!  Looks like fall is finally on its way!.

Hurricane Michael is still heading to the panhandle of Florida  and will not impact the weather in the Arklatex.  The latest NHC forecast shows a major category 3 storm is possible at landfall late Wednesday. 

Average High/Low for today’s date: 81/57.

–Todd Warren

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