Clouds and cold temperatures could stick around through Tuesday. Quick warm up to close the work week. Strong front brings storms and possibly the coldest air of the season.
830pm Live Update:
Monday was a cloudy and cold day around the Arklatex. Temperatures began in the mid to upper 30s and only managed to climb into the low to middle 40s. I don’t expect much change for Tuesday. Models are presenting two scenarios. Right now we have a strong cap above the cold air at the surface. So far there has been nothing that has been able to break this cap so we have stayed rather chilly. Some models indicate that the cap will quickly break tomorrow allowing for plenty of sunshine and a warm up into the mid to upper 50s. I think that the cap will hold a bit longer tomorrow and that we will stay cloudy longer keeping temperatures well below normal. After lows in the mid 30s tonight, we will struggle to make it to 50 tomorrow. If the cap holds and we stay cloudy like today, temperatures will again stay in the 40s. However, if we see the sun sooner tomorrow. Expect highs well into the 50s.
Beyond Tuesday, expect a quick and big warming trend thanks to the return of some breezy south to southwesterly winds. Despite lots of clouds Wednesday, we’ll see highs in the mid to upper 50s. That warming trend will continue Thursday and Friday with just a slight chance for some rain. Look for highs to be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
A strong cold front will then move through the Arklatex Friday night and Saturday morning. This front will bring a round of showers and a few thunderstorms. As of right now, I’m not too concerned about severe weather. It also appears that the heaviest rain from this system will stay well to our east. We can expect to see rainfall totals in the 1/2 to 1″ range. Temperatures will take a big tumble behind this front. We will likely begin Saturday in the 50s and 60s over most of the area. We will probably dip into the 40s during the day. Temperatures Sunday will begin in the low to mid 20s and will struggle to make it into the upper 30s to low 40s. Our coldest night could be Sunday night when lows dip into the low to mid 20s. A few teens may be possible over the northern edge of the area.
Average High/Low for today’s date: 57/36.