Expect a windy and very warm Wednesday. A cold front moves through Thursday. It now appears that strong to severe storms are possible Saturday.
Tuesday was a sunny and warm day around the Arklatex. Temperatures began in the mid to upper 50s and soared into the low to mid 80s. Expect even warmer temperatures Wednesday. Sunshine will combine with a gusty south wind of 15 to 20 mph to warm temperatures into the mid to upper 80s. The warming trend will end Thursday as a cold front pushes through the area. It will stay rather breezy as the wind shift from the southwest to northwest behind the front. Expect highs Thursday in the mid to upper 70s. Rain chances due to the front are looking rather slim.
Rain chances will increase with another strong disturbance that will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms to all of the area. Models have shifted the project course of the surface low well to the west. That will allow temperatures to soar into the 70s Saturday morning. That will be warm enough to allow instability to increase Saturday morning and afternoon leading to the likelihood of thunderstorm over the southeast half of the area. That is where we will likely see some strong to severe storms that will produce very heavy rain. All severe weather threats will be possible including some tornadoes. This scenario is not yet set in stone. If the low tracks further east like models indicated yesterday, we’ll be cooler and the severe weather threat will be to the east of our area. Given the current outlook, it appears that most of the area will receive anywhere from one to three inches of rain.
This system will quickly move east Sunday. We will likely end the weekend with some sunshine and mild temperatures. Expect highs Sunday in the low to mid 60s. That sunshine will stick around through next Tuesday. Highs will likely warm back to the mid to upper 70s by the middle of next week. We will then see another system that could bring a few showers and thunderstorms to the area Tuesday night and Wednesday of next week.
Average High/Low for today’s date: 76/52.