Enjoy a comfortably warm Wednesday, as our weather pattern will turn messy tonight and that will continue through the upcoming weekend.
This morning, it’s cold again, but most of us are lingering in the 40s, so you’ll need a jacket but we are well above freezing and running about 10 degrees warmer than yesterday at the same time.
A south wind and early day sunshine will quickly push our temperatures through the 50s and 60s with highs expected to reach the low and mid 70s today. A breezy south wind will develop as well, up to 15 miles per hour this afternoon.
High pressure that kept us dry Monday/Tuesday is moving east, and that is opening the door for our next storm system to move in. Ahead of that we will see increasing clouds this afternoon and evening. We may see a few thunderstorms tonight, before our thunderstorm threat ramps up Thursday. We may see a round of storms in the morning, with another round in the afternoon. See the latest loop of futurecast below:
Storms that form tonight will be capable of high wind and hail. The main severe weather threat tonight through 5 a.m. Thursday will be north of I-20.
The daylight hours on Thursday will bring us 2 potential rounds of strong storms. The first will be with any storms that hold together in the morning bringing a continued risk of high wind and large hail. If the atmosphere has time to recover, an afternoon round of storms will tap into warm/humid air and bring all threats to the table. These include high wind and hail again, with a window for a few tornadoes as well during the afternoon and evening. If clouds can hold on and limit the afternoon warming trend we may see storms develop east of the ArkLaTex.
A few lingering showers will stay with us Friday, but the warm and humid air will be in place again as we move into the weekend setting the stage for another possible round of strong to severe storms. Rain will increase Saturday afternoon. At the moment it looks like we may see a severe weather window late Saturday into early Sunday, but this remains in question. Either way, showers and a few storms are likely overnight and into Sunday.
A few lingering showers Monday will add to our potential rainfall totals between now and early next week. Forecast models are showing 2 to 3 inch amounts for much of the region.