Clouds and the threat of some rain return for the weekend. Thunderstorms to return Sunday night with a small window of severe weather possible Sunday evening. Most of next week looks dry and pleasant.
Friday was another gorgeous day around the Arklatex. Temperatures began in the low to mid-40s. Thanks to a mix of sunshine and some high clouds, daytime highs returned to the mid to upper 70s. Expect some change for the weekend. A series of disturbances will bring a chance for some rain that will likely be confined to the northern half of the area Saturday. Where the rain will be more isolated over the southern half of the area, highs will return to the low to mid-70s. Further north where rain chance will be higher, highs will mainly be in the 60s. See the latest 36-hour outlook from Futurecast below:
Most of Sunday is looking dry for most of the area. Late Sunday and especially Sunday evening, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop. If we are going to have any severe weather, models show that it could occur Sunday evening over eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. This activity will move towards the southeast through our area Sunday night. As the atmosphere becomes more stable Sunday night, the chance for severe storms should rapidly decline during the late evening and overnight hours. The main threats will be large hail and damaging straight-line wind. A tornado or two will be a very slight possibility mainly along the northern edge of our area and points north during the early evening hours. The Storm Prediction Center indicates that our severe potential is only marginal at this time. That is a one on the one to five severe weather risk scale.
Expect the threat of rain to continue through Monday morning for the southern half of the area. We will likely then see the rain end and sunshine return Monday afternoon. Once that sunshine returns, it will likely stick around through at least Thursday. Models indicate that the rain should be limited for most of the area with the heaviest totals over the northern half of the region.
Our next rain threat will likely hold off until the very end of next week. A few scattered showers or thunderstorm will be possible Friday. That rain threat will likely increase next weekend. Once the rain returns, we very well could see an off and on continued chance for rain well into the following week. We will have to keep an eye on this pattern as we will have the potential for a very heavy rain event. Stay Tuned.
Daytime highs for most of the week ahead will be in the 70s. Overnight lows will mainly be in the 40s and 50s. Comment below if you have a question about this weekend’s weather:
Have a great weekend! –Todd Warren