The cold weather pattern will continue Monday, but we are in for a slow warming trend as we move through the week, with some rain chances eventually returning.
This morning temperatures are very cold, in the mid 30s to low 40s. An inversion (warm air above cold air at the surface) is trapping the clouds/and cold air in the ArkLaTex. Overall it will be an overcast to mostly cloudy day with a light north breeze of 5 to 10 miles per hour. No rain is expected and highs will be in the mid to upper 40s.
Expect a partly cloudy day tomorrow with a south wind returning as we move through the day. This will trigger a warming trend that will take us back into the 60s Wednesday, and we may push 70 Thursday and Friday.
As for our next chance for rain.. a quick moving but weak disturbance will pass through bringing a few showers Wednesday into Thursday but any accumulations will be light.
A stronger upper level storm system will move in early next weekend. The forecast models are split on the timing and strength, but at this point it looks like we could see a threat for severe weather in the Friday/Saturday time-frame. Timing will come into better focus by midweek. Rainfall accumulations over the next 7 days look to be less than 1.5 inches.
It looks like some of the coldest air of the season could move in Sunday/Monday of next week.