Colder air to return to the Arklatex and stick around for at least a week. Winter precipitation a slight possibility tonight, Monday night and again next Thursday.
A cold front is making its way through the Arklatex Thursday and is bring more needed rainfall to the area. The good news is that while we could hear some thunder, don’t expect much of a severe threat. The east half of the area could receive more than 1″ of rain before it ends. Colder air will invade the area behind the front tonight. There will be a race tonight between the moisture and the cold air. Models indicate that it is possible that we could get cold enough soon enough to see a light winter mix mainly east of Shreveport & Texarkana. Accumulation is doubtful.
Cold air will continue to move into the area Friday thanks to a breezy northwesterly wind of 15 to 20 mph. Look for that wind to decrease a little in the afternoon. After lows Friday morning in the upper 20s to low 30s, we’ll see highs in the low to mid 40s. That’s more than ten degres below normal.
The below normal temperatures will continue through next week as highs will stay in the 30s and 40s and low s will mainly be in the 20s with a few teens possible across the northern half of the area. We will have to keep an eye on two disturbances in the week ahead. The first arrives late Monday and Monday night. The big question with this system is will we have enough moisture to squeeze out any precipitation. The majority of models indicate that the answer is no. Models are in better agreement on a disturbance arriving Thursday. The question with this system is will we be cold enough to support any winter precipitation. At this point I do expect to see some especially the farther north you live. Stay Tuned!
Average High/Low for today’s date: 57/36.