Expect a big Friday warm up. Strong storms still likely Saturday morning.

Futurecast

Temperatures flirt with 80 Friday and Saturday.  Strong to severe storms are still possible mainly Saturday morning.  A second disturbance brings storms and heavy rain late Tuesday into Wednesday.

Thursday was a mostly cloudy, breezy and mild day around the Arklatex.  Temperatures began in the 40s and slowly warmed into the upper 50s to low 60s. Expect a big warm-up for the next few days.  Friday will see plenty of clouds and a slight chance for a few showers.  Any rain should be rather light. A breezy south wind will combine with a few rays of afternoon sunshine to warm us into the mid to upper 70s.  Moisture will continue to increase Friday night as a cold front approaches from the west. This front is still forecast to produce a line of strong to severe storms over all of the area mainly Saturday morning.  

SPC still indicates that most of the area will see a slight risk for severe storms with all severe weather threats on the table.  Most models indicate that the severe threat will probably be highest over the north half of the area in NE TX, SW AR, and SE OK.  See the latest 36-hour outlook from Futurecast below.

The weekend will end on a mostly cloudy but dry note Sunday.  Expect lows Sunday morning to be in the upper 40s to low 50s.  Daytime highs will range from the mid-60s north to the low 70s south.  Yet another weaker disturbance will bring more rain to the area Sunday night that should linger into Monday.  We will then await our next big disturbance that arrives very late Tuesday into Wednesday.  It is beginning to look like most of the thunderstorms from this system will arrive after sunset Tuesday. It is still possible that it could arrive as late as Wednesday morning.  So far SPC does not have a risk outlook on this system due to model differences.  That will likely change as we get closer to the event. The rain will likely decrease Wednesday.  Some models indicate that we could still see some rain around the area as late as next Thursday. 

We could see some decent rainfall totals in the coming week.  Futurecast indicates that 1″ or more will be possible Saturday over the northern half of the area.  We will also see the chance for a few more inches with the Tuesday-Wednesday system.  That means that two to four inches of rain will be possible from now through next Thursday.  Stay tuned for live weather updates here on arklatexhomepage.com in the coming days.

Average high/low for today’s’ date:  67/44.

–Todd Warren

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