Scattered showers and thunderstorms to decrease some Friday night. A line of storms to move through quickly Saturday morning. Rest of the weekend looks dry and pleasant.
Friday was a cool and soggy day around the Arklatex. Showers and a few thunderstorms gradually expanded to the north through our area as warm air to our south gradually invades the area. We will likely see the coverage of the scattered showers and thunderstorms decrease some Friday night in advance of the approaching cold front.
The front will move into the western edge of the area early Saturday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will gradually develop ahead of the front and slowly strengthen as they move east across the area. We are very fortunate that the front is arriving when it is. Models are in good agreement that instability for our area will be somewhat limited but will increase late in the morning over the eastern edge of the Arklatex just as the storms are exiting our area. That is where our severe weather threat will likely be highest. SPC still has most of our area in a slight risk zone in their latest outlook. However, it is becoming clear that the worst of the storms will be to the east of our area. Damaging wind will be the biggest concern. An isolated tornado will be possible.
Futurecast shows that another inch or so of rain will be possible in spots from this evening through Saturday morning.
See the latest outlook from Futurecast below:
We’ll see rapidly improving conditions Saturday afternoon in the wake of the storms. Expect some late day sunshine and SW wind to combine to produce a nice warm up. Daytime highs will likely climb into the 70s for most of the area. That sunshine will stick around through Monday with more seasonable temperatures both Sunday and Monday. Highs will be in the low to mid-60s. Lows will be in the upper 30s to low 40s.
Our next chance for rain will likely hold off until Tuesday and could stick around through Friday. The good news is that this is not yet set in stone. It is possible that most of the rain will hold off until Thursday. Models projections for rainfall next week are also looking rather light.
Average High/Low for today’s date: 63/41.
Have a great weekend! –Todd Warren