An active weather pattern is unfolding across much of the region, but the ArkLaTex is located in an area that will miss out on the needed rainfall from Hurricane Nate while pushing record highs by Monday.
For Saturday night into Sunday morning, a weak cold front will bring drier air to Oklahoma, northeast Texas and a few counties in southern Arkansas. This will lead to temperatures comfortably falling into the low and mid 60s in these areas under mostly clear skies. For Louisiana, deep east Texas and our far eastern counties in southern Arkansas, low and mid level clouds associated with Hurricane Nate will act as a blanket and hold lows in the upper 60s and low 70s. Despite the presence of the Hurricane, there will be little more than a few isolated showers in these areas and light wind out of the northeast.
Hurricane Nate will likely make landfall east of New Orleans late Saturday or early Sunday as a Category 1 or 2 Hurricane. The ArkLaTex will continue to see the far outer bands of Nate which will lead to partly to mostly cloudy skies, and isolated rain chances for Arkansas and Louisiana. It will stay hot with highs running close to 90 degrees in all areas Sunday afternoon.
Monday may bring a day of record or near record warmth. Sandwiched between a departing Hurricane to our east, and an incoming cold front from our west, we will be under party cloudy skies with highs in the mid 90s.
Relief is on the way for Tuesday as the front moves through it will drop temperatures into the mid and lower 80s Tuesday and Wednesday. Unfortunately the cold front will bring little measurable rainfall to the region late Monday through late Tuesday. With dry air setting up behind the front through next weekend we will continue to see drought and fire conditions worsen.