Your ArkLaTex Weather Authority Team

Mostly cloudy Monday, severe storms possible Tuesday

Futurecast

Between the weekend severe weather threat, and another severe weather threat tomorrow we are in for a mostly cloudy and warm Monday.

This morning our temperatures range from the mid 60s to the low 70s. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy today with a slight chance of an isolated shower or storm, but most areas will stay dry. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with a few 90 degree temperatures possible across Toledo Bend.

A significant severe weather outbreak is expected in Oklahoma and Texas today. If the storms hold together overnight they could bring a high wind threat north of I-30 late tonight into early tomorrow morning. I’m not too concerned about this time period. 

As we move into the day on Tuesday a narrow band of thunderstorms will move into the region during the middle of the day, and continue into the evening. The Storm Prediction Center has our risk level as ‘slight’, a level 2 threat on the 1 to 5 scale. High wind will be the primary threat, with an isolated tornado possible. 

The coverage of the severe weather threat is uncertain, with the most likely areas that will receive any severe weather north of I-20. It’s completely possible the storm system will pull to the north and we may not see much at all. See the latest loop of futurecast below:

A very strong ridge of high pressure that is typical of summer will build into the Gulf of Mexico this week, putting a protective bubble around the ArkLaTex. This will keep most of us dry and keep severe weather away through the weekend. The trade-off is we will have to deal with very warm temperatures, and we will be in the upper 80s and low 90s Wednesday through the upcoming weekend. 

Total rainfall accumulations over the next 7 days will between .5 to 1 inch. 

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