We will be in for another unseasonably warm and cloudy day ahead of a storm system that could bring the potential for severe weather late this evening into the overnight hours.
This morning temperatures are in the mid 50s with overcast skies and southeast wind of 10 miles per hour. As we move through the day speeds will increase to 15 to 20 miles per hour making for a breezy day. This wind is transporting a lot of Gulf air into the region which will result in the occasional rain shower moving through during the daylight hours. Highs this afternoon will be in the upper 60s. An upper level disturbance will move in tonight driving a line of thunderstorms through the region. The highest likelihood of severe weather will be from midnight to mid-morning Thursday. See the latest run of futurecast below.
A marginal and slight risk of strong/severe storms exists for east Texas and into the I-49 corridor between Shreveport and Texarkana through 6 a.m. tomorrow morning. High wind and hail will be the primary threats but a brief spin-up tornado will be possible. The highest threat of severe weather Thursday morning will be southeast of Shreveport through the Toledo Bend region.
In addition to the severe weather threat these storms will be heavy rain producers, with a corridor of 2 to 3 inch totals possible from deep east Texas, through Shreveport/Bossier to the Arkansas border.
We will get a break from the rain later tomorrow through Friday but this break will be short lived. A cold rain will set up Saturday and then again early next week. A return to winter is likely with highs in the 40s and 50s beyond Friday.