Heavy rain possible for much of the Arklatex this weekend. We dry out and heat up late next week. Temperatures return to normal.
Friday proved to be a relatively quiet day around the Arklatex as rain remained rather scattered. Any rain that has developed across the region Friday afternoon will either move out of the area or dissipate Friday evening. Once that happens, our attention will turn to a front that will be stalled out near the Red River. This front will serve as the focus for periods of showers and thunderstorms from now to possibly Monday. The Storm Prediction Center indicates that there is a low end severe weather risk for Saturday in NE TX and SE OK. Futurecast is right now showing that the the threat for strong storms could also include E TX. The main concern with these complexes of storms that will develop to our NW and move across our area this weekend will be heavy rain. Models indicate that over 5″ could fall just to our NW over S OK and N TX. The northern half of our area could receive one to four inches of rain. Rainfall of this magnitude could produce some brief flooding issues if it does occur.
All of this rain Red River basin of S OK and N TX will also produce a decent rise in the Red River. It is a bit early to project exactly how high the river will get. Those calculations will be much more reliable once we see exactly where the heaviest rain falls. Models have not shown much consistency on their rainfall projections for this weekend.
Temperatures will likely stay below normal this weekend with highs in the low 90s across the south and mid to upper 80s across the north. We will heat up later in the week as upper level high pressure builds over the Lower Mississippi valley. Look for daytime highs to return to the mid 90s. Heat index values will likely surpass 100 and could approach 105 late in the week. The ridge will also eliminate any threat of rain for a few days late next week.
Normal High/Low for today’s date: 95/73.
Have a great weekend!!