The weather pattern is changing on us this morning as a cold front and strong upper level low are nearing the region. This will result in lots of clouds today and heavy rain at times Friday into Saturday.
This morning it remains cold as temperatures are in the 30s and low 40s, but the clouds have served as a blanket and kept us from falling below freezing in most areas. Wind is light and out of the southeast at 5 miles per hour. Due to the clouds most areas will stay in the 50s again today making for another cool afternoon. The front that is moving into the northern ArkLaTex may hold highs across I-30 in the 40s.
Rain showers will be possible today, with the highest likelihood of rain north of I-20 along the frontal boundary. As a strong upper level disturbance moves in from Texas and interacts with the front rain will increase overnight and into Friday. The expectation is that we will see widespread rainfall by Friday afternoon, with the heaviest rain falling Friday evening through Saturday morning. See the latest run of futurecast below:
Forecast models have been persistent in showing rainfall accumulations today through Sunday in the 3 inch range for the majority of our counties and parishes. 4 to 6 inch accumulations will be common throughout Texas. We have had an opportunity to dry out over the past few weeks, so river and lake flooding isn’t anticipated, but flooding of streets, streams, and poor drainage areas will be possible, especially late Friday through early Saturday. A Flash Flood Watch may be issued soon.
As the rain tapers off Saturday and temperatures drop behind the cold front we may see a brief window for a few snow flurries across the very northern edge of the ArkLaTex, mainly in Oklahoma and Arkansas. Little to no accumulation is expected.
Overcast conditions may linger much of the day Sunday before sunshine begins to dry us out Monday and Tuesday.