Severe storms likely Saturday into early Sunday morning

Futurecast

It will be a partly cloudy and warm Friday, followed by a storm Saturday that will bring the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms during the afternoon through the overnight hours in some areas. 

Another perfect morning as we are under mostly clear skies with temperatures in the mid 60s through sunrise. We may see clouds increase at times today, leaving us partly cloudy, with little chance for any rain. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. 

Our attention turns to Saturday, as a strong upper level disturbance will bring conditions favorable for scattered to numerous severe storms across the ArkLaTex. 

Storms will develop well to our west in Texas/Oklahoma, and arrive in the ArkLaTex during the afternoon which coincides with the warmest temperatures. For this reason the Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the ArkLaTex in the ‘enhanced risk’ outlook. Storms may weaken somewhat as they pass into Louisiana where we have a ‘slight risk’ outlook . Damaging wind gusts will be the primary storm threat, with the possibility of large hail, flooding, and a few tornadoes. 

Our severe weather window will likely close early Sunday morning with a few non-severe lingering showers and storms Sunday morning. See the latest loop of futurecast below:

We will salvage most of the day Sunday with some sun returning and dry conditions for most of the area. A few isolated showers may develop Monday but we should remain partly cloudy and warm with most areas avoiding rain.

Our next chance of strong to severe storms will arrive late Tuesday. Conditions will be favorable for severe thunderstorms, but the forecast models are showing most of the storms developing north of the ArkLaTex. There is a lot of uncertainty regarding the Tuesday forecast so check back for updates. 

Rainfall accumulations will be in the 1 to 2 inch range over the next 7 days, with isolated higher amounts depending on how our Tuesday scenario plays out. 

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