The weather week ahead: Flood producing rainfall possible into Thursday

Futurecast

Flash Flood Watch in effect for most of the Arklatex through Wednesday night.  Showers and thunderstorms stay in the forecast through Thursday.  Severe weather possible Saturday.

Tuesday was another warm and mainly dry day for most of the Arklatex.  Temperatures have again soared into the 70s and 80s.  Expect rain to be on the increase Tuesday night and Wednesday.  The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch for the NW 2/3rds of the Arklatex.

Futurecast indicates that showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase Tuesday night mainly over NE TX and SW AR.  While flooding will be the main concern,  this area will also have a low end severe risk with a few storms producing some damaging wind.  
Wednesday look for the main focus for the heavier rain to shift towards the southeast into E TX and NW LA.  Flooding could become a concern in these areas too. The Storm Prediction Center also indicated that there is a low end severe weather risk over deep ETX and NW LA to the south and east of Shreveport Wednesday.  All severe weather threats will be possible Wednesday but any reports should be rather isolated. Rainfall totals will be rather impressive with 3 to 8″ possible over all of the area.  Futurecast indicates that the heaviest rain will be over NE TX, SE OK, & SW AR.  It also shows an area of heavy rain potential over the southeast edge of the area.

 

The front that will be producing all of the rain will shift back to the north Thursday and take most of the rain with it. It should be far enough to the north Friday that rainfall in our area looks rather isolated.  The front will then get one final push to the southeast through the entire Arklatex Saturday.  This time it will have more upper level support that will provide for a larger risk for severe storms will all severe weather concerns on the table.  Once this front clears the area, we should be mainly dry Sunday and Monday before the chance for rain returns late Tuesday and/or Tuesday night.

Average High/Low for today’s date:  63/41.

–Todd Warren

Copyright 2020 Nexstar Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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