Update 830pm Monday! Afternoon storm risk to stick around. Watching the tropics!

Futurecast

Update 830pm Monday from Facebook Live:

Chance for the afternoon storm to continue through the week ahead.  Above normal temperatures to continue.  We’ll have to keep an eye on a disturbance over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms returned to parts of the Arklatex Sunday and Monday. It appears that the shot for the scattered mainly afternoon or early thunderstorm will stay in the forecast for pretty much the entire week ahead.  Temperatures Monday climbed mainly into the upper 80s to low 90s.  We’ll see much of the same for the week ahead.  Look for overnight lows in the week ahead to also stay well above normal in the upper 60s to low 70s.  

Things could get rather interesting later this week. A few models are hinting that a disturbance over the eastern Gulf of Mexico could develop into a tropical disturbance or possibly a depression.  The National Hurricane Center indicates that the chance of a depression forming is rather low at this point.  Depression or not, we’ll have to keep an eye on where this system goes.  It will be a slow mover and could produce some impressive rainfall totals if it were to move near the Arklatex.  Right now, it appears that the odds are highest that it will stay to the east of our area.  Models indicate that we could see some decent rain this week.  The driest model shows a solid 1-2″ over most of the area.  

The heaviest model shows the same, but has some much heavier rainfall totals over the southern edge of the area.  This is due to the tropical system mentioned earlier. Stay Tuned!

Click here for the latest outlook from the National Hurricane Center.

Average High/Low for today’s date: 85/64.

–Todd Warren

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