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TD 22: FORECAST & IMPACTS

Tracking the Tropics

TRACKING THE TROPICS

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Tracking the Tropics

TRACKING THE TROPICS

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Warm pattern continues, another chance for storms Tuesday.

Futurecast

Some areas are finally seeing the dry air move in behind a cold front, and that will bring a warm but comfortable pattern on Monday. For Sunday evening, with the lingering front south of I-20 we may see a fwe showers/thunderstorms over the Toledo Bend area, but everyone else will stay dry.

Dew point temperatures have been in the 70s for the past week. This is a measure of moisture in the air. The higher the dew point, the higher the humidity. With a north wind now in place behind the front, dew point temperatures will fall through the 60s and into the 50s overnight. This will allow overnight lows to fall into the 60s in all areas tonight. The lower dew point temperatures will also take the ‘heat index’ factor out of our Monday highs in the upper 80s and low 90s. Instead of feeling like it’s near 100 degrees, it will actually feel like it’s in the upper 80s and low 90s. We will likely stay dry Monday with partly cloudy skies. 

(Dew point temperatures currently in 70s currently forecast to fall into 50s):

Our next chance for rain and thunderstorms will move in Tuesday morning. A series of disturbances will bring daily thunderstorms in Texas/Oklahoma this week. As those storms weaken overnight they will move towards the ArkLaTex the next morning. This is the pattern that may bring some early day rain and thunderstorms Tuesday. If storms persist during the day we could see some high wind gusts, so the Storm Prediction Center has put the ArkLaTex in their ‘marginal risk’ for severe storms outlook on Tuesday.

We will see slight rain chances Wednesday/Thursday before the heat returns late in the week as we will be in the mid 90s Friday/Saturday.

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