Warm start to the week, rain and thunderstorms return soon.


The warm spring pattern will continue Monday, with a few more clouds around as we move through the day. A chance of rain will return as we move through the week. 

This morning our temperatures have settled into the mid and upper 50s where we will be through sunrise. After a cool start, temperatures will warm quickly again today as the south wind and some sunshine will push us into the 70s by noon, with eventual highs in the low 80s. A south wind will be between 10 and 15 miles per hour at times, breezy, but not windy. 

High pressure is moving east, and the south wind off the Gulf is bringing a few more clouds this morning. Expect plenty of sun mixed in with the clouds today. We will see rain chances slowly increase late tomorrow. See the latest 36-hour loop of futurecast below:

Our next upper level disturbance will slowly dig out of the Rockies and move towards south Texas. Ahead of this we may see a few showers late Tuesday, especially across east Texas and Oklahoma. The low will stall out across south Texas bringing a frontal boundary close to the ArkLaTex Wednesday. This will result in scattered rain chances. As the low pushes the front through on Thursday rain and thunderstorms will become more widespread through the day. 

At this point the severe weather threat looks low, but it is April, and we will have warm air in place, so a few strong storms may be possible Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon. The rain will move east Thursday night with only a slight chance of a lingering shower Friday. 

We will need to be on alert for a corridor of heavy rain. Forecast models continue to advertise 1 to 2 inches of rain for much of the region with a corridor of 2 to 4 inches settling close to our northeast Texas counties. 

Temperatures will remain in the 70s and 80s through next weekend, with a dry weekend on the way. 

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