Weather week ahead: Early Easter rain & strong storms late Tuesday


Clouds and a slight chance for rain return for Easter Sunday.  Two shots at strong to severe storms in the week ahead.  Another couple of inches of rain possible.

The Easter weekend began with lots of sunshine, wind and warmer temperatures Saturday.  Morning low temperatures began in the mid to upper 40s.  Daytime highs have soared into the mid to upper 70s.  Unfortunately, the sunshine won’t stick around through the weekend. A combination of a weak front and moisture returning from the Gulf of Mexico will result in lots of clouds and a chance for a few scattered showers mainly over the northern half of the area.  This front will stop over the northern half of the region and then retreat back to the north.  This will allow for the warm temperatures to stick around until Tuesday when another stronger disturbance approaches from the northwest. 

Tuesday looks to be a rather stormy day.  We will begin with lots of clouds and will likely end with showers and thunderstorms developing over most of the area.  The storms will be strongest Tuesday evening through Tuesday night.  The Storm Prediction Center already indicates that we will have at least a slight risk for severe storms.  Wind and hail look to be the biggest threats, but we could see a few tornadoes mainly over the southern half of the area.  This activity will end Tuesday night.  

Sunshine will return to the Arklatex Wednesday and Thursday as we wait for the next disturbance to arrive Friday.  It will also turn cooler with highs for the middle of the week falling into the 60s and 70s.  Lows will dip into the 30s and 40s.  A second disturbance will bring some showers and thunderstorms to the area late Friday and Friday night.  Severe weather will once again be possible.  Models agree that we will see some storms but disagree on the timing of the activity and where it will be strongest.  I’d expect next weekend to begin on a cloudy note with a few showers.  Temperatures will again cool down with highs falling into the 50s and 60s.  

Average High/Low for today’s date:  74/49.

–Todd Warren

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