Wednesday looking windy and warm


Wednesday temps to flirt with 80 despite clouds.  Cold front bring early Thursday storms and big cool down.  More rain to return early next week.

Tuesday was a mostly cloudy and warm day for this time of year around the Arklatex.  Temperatures begain in the middle 60s and warmed into the mid to upper 70s.  Don’t expect any changes Wednesday.  We will be watching a strong cold front that will move across the area late Wednesday night and Thursday morning.  Ahead of the front Wednesday, expect a mostly cloudy sky, a breezy south wind,  a slight chance for a shower, and well above normal temperatures.  Highs Wednesday will be in the mid to upper 70s.  Lows will be in the mid 60s.  

Look for a line of storms to roll through the area late Wednesday night through Thursday.  This line will be strongest across the northern quarter of the area where it is possible that we might see a cell or two become severe with wind the biggest concern.  That severe weather risk is looking rather low as the Storm Prediction Center indicates that there is just a marginal risk at this time.  Models still indicate that the rainfall from the front will be heaviest over the northern half of the area where many locations could receive more than 1″ of rain.  Amounts will probably be 1/2″ or less over E TX and NW LA.  See the latest 36 hour outlook from Futurecast here:

Expect a drop in temperaturs behind the front Thursday.  We will likely begin in the 65-70 degree range Thursday morning.  Temperarures will drop into the 40s and 50s by sunset.  I wouldn’t expect much sunshine for the rest of the seven day period.  Models do hint at a slight chance for a shower for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.  Temperatures will be cool with highs in the 40s and 50s.  Lows will be in the 20s and 30s.

Another disturbance will move across the area early next week.  This system will not pose much of a severe weather threat, but will bring a chance for more heavy rain especially over the northern half of the area.  If you add up the rain from the front and this second system, you might see rainfall totals range from 1/2 to 1″ across the southern quarter of the area to  two to 3″ over the northern quarter of the area.  Temperatures will likely warm up as this system moves in.  Expect highs to return to the 60s.  Lows will return to the 40s.

Average High/Low for today’s date:  59/38.

–Todd Warren

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